Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.037945 0.044226 0.051135 0.059287 0.068629 0.078990 0.091336
2025-07-27 0.027962 0.035996 0.045653 0.058069 0.073556 0.092180 0.116212
2025-08-03 0.021634 0.030403 0.041795 0.057572 0.078727 0.105967 0.143533
2025-08-10 0.016768 0.025518 0.037711 0.055752 0.081535 0.116778 0.168251
2025-08-17 0.013379 0.021892 0.034531 0.054379 0.084396 0.127638 0.194040
2025-08-24 0.011170 0.019523 0.032656 0.054405 0.088994 0.141177 0.224899
2025-08-31 0.009170 0.017066 0.030171 0.052984 0.091003 0.150865 0.250847
2025-09-07 0.008241 0.016212 0.030087 0.055319 0.099107 0.170638 0.294297
2025-09-14 0.007120 0.014794 0.028789 0.055343 0.103270 0.184378 0.329291
2025-09-21 0.006001 0.013159 0.026828 0.053859 0.104540 0.193282 0.356931
2025-09-28 0.005186 0.011967 0.025487 0.053279 0.107263 0.204813 0.390011
2025-10-05 0.004868 0.011746 0.025982 0.056242 0.116830 0.229303 0.448184
2025-10-12 0.004468 0.011291 0.025970 0.058267 0.124977 0.252261 0.506274
2025-10-19 0.003831 0.010177 0.024412 0.056910 0.126296 0.262592 0.541907
2025-10-26 0.003348 0.009333 0.023306 0.056342 0.129123 0.276057 0.584763
2025-11-02 0.002853 0.008356 0.021736 0.054519 0.129062 0.283757 0.616969
2025-11-09 0.002460 0.007559 0.020456 0.053155 0.129793 0.293061 0.653159
2025-11-16 0.002197 0.007057 0.019807 0.053171 0.133564 0.308978 0.704274
2025-11-23 0.001901 0.006397 0.018649 0.051775 0.133914 0.317600 0.740759
2025-11-30 0.001801 0.006300 0.018945 0.054057 0.143168 0.346444 0.823124
2025-12-07 0.001620 0.005912 0.018394 0.054079 0.146965 0.363471 0.881027
2025-12-14 0.001409 0.005377 0.017344 0.052626 0.146935 0.371779 0.920154
2025-12-21 0.001253 0.004991 0.016657 0.052058 0.149068 0.385267 0.972166